Ecommerce Expected To Hit $1 Trillion in Sales by 2022

Breanna De Vera

Breanna de Vera is dot.LA's editorial intern. She is currently a senior at the University of Southern California, studying journalism and English literature. She previously reported for the campus publications The Daily Trojan and Annenberg Media.

Ecommerce Expected To Hit $1 Trillion in Sales by 2022
Photo by CardMapr on Unsplash

Ecommerce sales ballooned during the pandemic and are expected to get even bigger — hitting the $1 trillion mark by 2022.

That's according to a study released by Adobe Analytics that found the lockdown economy has helped boost online shopping by an extra $183 billion since March 2020. That is a 20% growth, roughly the size of last year's holiday shopping season when buyers spent $188.2 billion online.

The report predicts it will only continue. Shoppers spent $813 billion online last year, up 42% from 2019. This year's spending is estimated to be somewhere between $850 billion and $930 billion. That means that by 2022 ecommerce spending might break the trillion dollar threshold for the first time.

"The pandemic has fast-forwarded ecommerce, driving levels of online sales we had not expected to see for a couple years. And consumers are not going back," said Adobe Digital Insights director Taylor Schreiner in an email. "People who successfully purchased loungewear in the last year for instance, are less concerned about the lack of a dressing room moving forward."

One of the biggest growth sectors have been online grocery shopping, with the rise of Instacart and grocery delivery services. Over the first three weeks of February 2021, it grew 230% in comparison to January 6 to January 26 the previous year, before the pandemic struck. Sporting goods also saw a 75% growth in that same period.

The way people shop is also changing — curbside and in store pickups of online orders grew 67% when comparing February 2021 to the previous year. Adobe surveyed 1,000 consumers, finding 30% actually preferred these pick up options to delivery.

"For many retailers, this service is no longer [just] 'nice to have.' Consumers value the convenience and speed, and it'll evolve how physical storefronts are developed moving forward," said Schreiner.

Buyers are also more likely to use a delayed payment option — selecting the option for "Buy Now, Pay Later" to place orders that are 18% larger — than standard payment options. This payment method grew 215% for the first two months of this year, in comparison to last year, which Adobe analysts attribute to "consumers [dealing] with financial uncertainty."

As customers were delaying paying, they were also shopping more. People spent more time scrolling throughout the day as bots reminded them of what was left in their cart.

Adobe's analysts note that "online shopping became a ubiquitous daily activity during the pandemic."

Sales and holiday shopping became less important. Memorial Day, Labor Day and President's Day all brought in less revenue than other days that same week. Even the traditional online holiday shopping spike — which usually lasts from Thanksgiving to Cyber Monday — dipped 9% from last season's haul, a change of $600 million.

The Digital Economy Index uses real time data from Adobe Analytics, which analyzes over a trillion site visits and online transactions across 100 million product SKUs.

"On a state level, California grew 35.4% year over year in the first two months of 2021," said Schreiner. "This is impressive growth for a market that was already adopting ecommerce at high rates prior to the pandemic."

According to HGInsights' index, more California companies use Adobe Analytics to track consumer behavior than other states.

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Genies Wants To Help Creators Build ‘Avatar Ecosystems’

Christian Hetrick

Christian Hetrick is dot.LA's Entertainment Tech Reporter. He was formerly a business reporter for the Philadelphia Inquirer and reported on New Jersey politics for the Observer and the Press of Atlantic City.

Genies Wants To Help Creators Build ‘Avatar Ecosystems’

When avatar startup Genies raised $150 million in April, the company released an unusual message to the public: “Farewell.”

The Marina del Rey-based unicorn, which makes cartoon-like avatars for celebrities and aims to “build an avatar for every single person on Earth,” didn’t go under. Rather, Genies announced it would stay quiet for a while to focus on building avatar-creation products.

Genies representatives told dot.LA that the firm is now seeking more creators to try its creation tools for 3D avatars, digital fashion items and virtual experiences. On Thursday, the startup launched a three-week program called DIY Collective, which will mentor and financially support up-and-coming creatives.

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Here's What To Expect At LA Tech Week

Christian Hetrick

Christian Hetrick is dot.LA's Entertainment Tech Reporter. He was formerly a business reporter for the Philadelphia Inquirer and reported on New Jersey politics for the Observer and the Press of Atlantic City.

Here's What To Expect At LA Tech Week

LA Tech Week—a weeklong showcase of the region’s growing startup ecosystem—is coming this August.

The seven-day series of events, from Aug. 15 through Aug. 21, is a chance for the Los Angeles startup community to network, share insights and pitch themselves to investors. It comes a year after hundreds of people gathered for a similar event that allowed the L.A. tech community—often in the shadow of Silicon Valley—to flex its muscles.

From fireside chats with prominent founders to a panel on aerospace, here are some highlights from the roughly 30 events happening during LA Tech Week, including one hosted by dot.LA.

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PCH Driven: Director Jason Wise Talks Wine, Documentaries, and His New Indie Streaming Service SOMMTV

Jamie Williams
­Jamie Williams is the host of the “PCH Driven” podcast, a show about Southern California entrepreneurs, innovators and its driven leaders on their road to success. The series celebrates and reveals the wonders of the human spirit and explores the motivations behind what drives us.
Jason Wise holding wine glass
Image courtesy of Jason Wise

Jason Wise may still consider himself a little kid, but the 33-year-old filmmaker is building an IMDB page that rivals colleagues twice his age.

As the director behind SOMM, SOMM2, SOMM3, and the upcoming SOMM4, Wise has made a career producing award-winning documentary films that peer deep into the wine industry in Southern California and around the world.

On this episode of the PCH Driven podcast, he talks about life growing up in Cleveland as a horrible student, filmmaking, Los Angeles and his latest entrepreneurial endeavor: A streaming service called SOMMTV that features–what else?–documentaries about wine.

The conversation covers some serious ground, but the themes of wine and film work to anchor the discussion, and Wise dispenses bits of sage filmmaking advice.

“With a documentary you can just start filming right now,” he says. “That’s how SOMM came about. I got tossed into that world during the frustration of trying to make a different film, and I just started filming it, because no one could stop me because I was paying for it myself. That’s the thing with docs,” or “The good thing about SOMM is that you can explain it in one sentence: ‘The hardest test in the world is about wine, and you’ve never heard about it.’”

…Or at least maybe you hadn’t before he made his first film. Now with three SOMM documentaries under his belt, Wise is nearing completion of “SOMM4: Cup of Salvation,” which examines the history of wine’s relationship with religion. Wise says it’s “a wild film,” that spans multiple countries, the Vatican and even an active warzone. As he puts it, the idea is to show that “wine is about every subject,” rather than “every subject is about wine.”

For Wise, the transition to launching his own streaming service came out of his frustration with existing platforms holding too much power over the value of the content he produces.

“Do we want Netflix to tell us what our projects are worth or do we want the audience to do that?” he asks.

But unlike giants in the space, SOMMTV has adopted a gradual approach of just adding small bits of content as they develop. Without the need to license 500 or 1,000 hours of programming, Wise has been able to basically bootstrap SOMMTV and provide short form content and other more experimental offerings that typically get passed over by the Hulus and Disneys of the world.

So far, he says, the experiment is working, and now Wise is looking to raise some serious capital to keep up with the voracious appetites of his subscribers.

“Send those VCs my way,” Wise jokes.

Subscribe to PCH Driven on Apple, Stitcher, Spotify, iHeart, Google or wherever you get your podcasts.

dot.LA reporter David Shultz contributed to this report.