dot.LA VC Sentiment Survey: Investors See Lots of Deals and Hiring Despite Long Return to Normal

Our survey found a considerable amount of optimism, especially considering that coronavirus hospitalizations and deaths continue to skyrocket in California and the U.S.

Of the 28 respondents, 82% expected their portfolio companies to hire more staff in the next quarter, with over half saying they had also added employees in the last quarter. None said they had seen reduced staffing or expected to do layoffs in the next quarter.

Dealmaking among our cohort remained robust. Slightly under half said they made the same number of deals in the past quarter compared to Q3, while 35% said they made more deals and only 25% said they made fewer deals. Most saw valuations hold steady while 35% saw them go up.

For comparison, when Pitchbook surveyed 102 VC's last month, 51% said they were investing at the same pace as before the pandemic, and only 3.9% said they had significantly pulled back.

It can seem a bit incongruous to see such robust dealmaking amidst a recession, but if we've learned anything this year it's that the pandemic and ailing broader economy has little effect on most tech companies and in many cases has been a benefit by accelerating the shift to digital.

Most of our VCs don't think the U.S. economy will start to recover for another year. A third think the recession will last all the way until the second half of 2022 and even stretch into 2023. That's slightly more pessimistic than a recent survey of economists, which found 73% expect the U.S. economy to recover to pre-pandemic GDP by the second half of 2021.

And the pandemic is likely to have lasting impact on the workplace. If you've gotten used to Zoom meetings and yoga pants, do not expect a return to the office anytime soon. Most respondents don't expect to require their employees to go back until the second half of 2021. Notably, a quarter of our VCs do not expect employees to ever go back.